An analysis by the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) finds that as voters across the country begin to cast their ballots for the 2020 General Election, voters under 30 across 42 states have requested ballots at comparable rate to their share of total registered voters, but they are not returning them at the same level as other groups.
As of October 14 in states that publish absentee and early vote data, voters aged 18 to 29 make up 17.2% of all registered voters and 16.4% of ballots requested. However, that number drops considerably for ballots cast so far, where voters aged 18 to 29 make up just 7.0% of mail ballots and 7.8% of early in-person votes.
Another alarming finding of the report shows that, so far, first time voter are not meeting their proportion of ballots returned. Although they make up 12.4% of ballots requested nationally, just 4.5% of mail ballots cast so far have been by new voters.
“As voters begin to vote absentee and early in historic numbers during unprecedented times, we are tracking trends in real time that both worry, but also inspire us,” said Seth Levi, Chief Strategy Officer for the Southern Poverty Law Center. “While young voters and first-time voters are requesting historic levels of absentee ballots, we are not yet seeing a corresponding return of those ballots. We urge every voter with an absentee ballot at home now to complete and return it to an official dropbox, if available in your county, your county election office, or via the postal service.”
The analysis is a part of an ongoing data tracking and reporting project between BlueLabs Analytics and the SPLC to track requested and returned absentee ballots as well as early voting in the states that report these numbers. These numbers will be essential reference points as Election Night results begin to be reported, and the SPLC, allied groups, and election observers strive to ensure enough votes have been counted for an appropriate call to be made at presidential and statewide levels.
Read the full report here.
Currently, the SPLC projects regular updates on absentee and early voting trends and analysis every two to three times a week before November 3.
ADDITIONAL NATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS:
KEY STATE HIGHLIGHTS:
Florida
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Wisconsin
Nevada
Georgia
North Carolina
Arizona
Maine
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